Aintree Melbourne Cup 2019
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With any form of betting, the importance of research can’t be underestimated. This is particularly true of the Melbourne Cup and other significant events in the world of sport.
What Melbourne Cup 2019 betting tips and statistics should you be aware of? Well, it can be a good idea to identify what previous winners of this prestigious race have in common. In our guide we’re going to explore Melbourne Cup tips and stats you should know that could help you make more successful betting choices. If you want more tips, have a look at our Melbourne Cup betting tips.
Key Melbourne Cup Betting Stats
Of course, as any horse racing bettor will tell you, there are a huge number of variables on any race. This is particularly true for a meet as prestigious as the Melbourne Cup. This doesn’t mean, however, that we can’t narrow down the field a little by analyzing what previous winners have in common.
The Melbourne Cup has run every year since 1861, so there’s a huge amount of history we can pick apart and assess. For the purposes of our Melbourne Cup 2019 tips, we’re going to concentrate on the last 15 years of action, unless otherwise stated. For more information about the 2019 race, check our Melbourne Cup 2019 review.
Each Of The Last 15 Winners Had Previously Won A Group Class Race
Analyzing the results of the last 15 winners of the Melbourne Cup, we can see that every horse had won at least one Group Class race previously. It’s worth considering those horses in the field for the Melbourne Cup 2019 have done the same.
13 Of The Last 15 Winners Had All Raced In The Previous Four Weeks
This stat indicates that horses who are ‘warmed up’ stand a better chance of success than those who have been rested for a significant time before the race.
It’s interesting, though, that Michael Walker, who rode A Prince Of Arran to third place in 2018, believes his horse would have won had it not raced a few days earlier.
Other Key Stats
There are many more stats you can analyze and research before you bet. Take into consideration the following statistics before you place your wagers.
- 13 Of The Last 15 Winners Had Won Eight Or Less Previous Races
- 13 Of The Last 15 Winners Were Drawn In Stall 5 Or Higher
- 10 Of The Last 15 Winners Were Aged 5 Years Or Over
- 10 Of The Last 15 Winners Placed In The Top Three Last Time Out
- 9 Of The Last 15 Winners, Were Based In Australia
- 9 Of The Last 15 Winners Had Raced At Flemington Before
Tips For The Melbourne Cup 2019
The average starting price for previous winners in the Melbourne Cup is 18/1. Don’t be tempted by the favourites – only three of the last 15 winners started the race as favourites. In fact, in the entire history of the Melbourne Cup, the favourite has won on just 34 occasions, making up around 21% of all winners.
It’s worth considering the age of the horse too – four and five-year-olds make up over half of the winners in the event’s history. Ten of the last 15 winners have been aged five years or over.
Most importantly, the Melbourne Cup is to be enjoyed. As with any huge sporting event, the number of bets placed is astronomical. If you are going to place a wager, bet as sensibly and as thoughtfully as possible.