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Melbourne Cup Weather & Forecast 2023

Weather conditions can have a huge impact on the Melbourne Cup betting, as different horses will excel depending on the track conditions. The situation is typically changeable, with current 2023 Melbourne Cup weather forecasts for Tuesday 7th November promising warm, sunny weather early in the day, with the likelihood of stormy showers later. If the prospect of rain proves accurate, it could pay to take a chance on the Melbourne Cup runners that prefer soft conditions.

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IMAGO / Pacific Press Agency

How has the weather affected previous Melbourne Cups?

There are many aspects you should consider for Melbourne Cup 2023 betting. Form, jockey, age and health are all typical details that bettors examine when they pick a runner. Another important aspect is the weather conditions, and this is particularly relevant for the Melbourne Cup given the area is so well known for its changeable weather.

Previous Melbourne Cups have suffered from a huge downpour. In turn, this led to the ground going soft, which affected many of the runners who perform better on good ground.

It’s important to assess the weather conditions before you place your bets. At the most basic level, if it’s raining, which horses have proven track records for good performances in those conditions? Similarly, if it’s dry, consider those horses that perform well on good-to-firm tracks.

Conditions have varied considerably in recent editions of the Melbourne Cup with only two of the most recent five races taking place under with the going declared Good.

YearMelbourne Cup WinnerOfficial Melbourne Cup Going
2022Gold TripSoft
2021Verry ElleegantGood
2020Twilight PaymentGood
2019Vow and DeclareGood to Soft
2018Cross CounterGood to Soft
2017RekindlingGood
2016AlmandonGood
2015Prince of PenzanceGood
2014ProtectionistGood
2013FiorenteGood

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What weather is expected for Melbourne Cup 2023?

As ever with Melbourne, it’s hard to predict exactly what the weather will be like at Flemington Park for the Melbourne Cup 2023. Melbourne is famous for its inconsistent weather conditions, particularly towards the end of the year.

At the time of writing, the Melbourne Cup forecast promises to be sunny, bright and warm in the first part of the day, before the risk of thunderstorms appears into the afternoon and evening. Do bear in mind that the weather can change drastically in the space of a couple of hours in Melbourne, making it difficult to judge how the horses will fare, and potentially causing some late changes in the Melbourne Cup odds.

For the Melbourne Cup 2023, it’s important to keep an eye on weather conditions as the day itself progresses. As part of your betting plan, keep records of which horses perform well in particular weather conditions. 

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